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← Explore · Market 2810536

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?

26.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (18.9%)
Change 24h+9.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$99 / $106
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)56.6
Realized vol 7d7.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 20d 10h.

Time to resolve20d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth