← Explore · Market 2810536
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?
26.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 29.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (18.9%)
Change 24h+9.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$99 / $106
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)56.6
Realized vol 7d7.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 10h.
Time to resolve20d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%