← Explore · Market 2810537
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?
29.0% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.0%, down 8.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 29.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (13.8%)
Change 24h-8.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$100
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$81 / $115
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 10 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)9.5
Realized vol 7d2.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 10h.
Time to resolve20d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%