← Explore · Market 2812301
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?
1.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (62.1%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,901
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $455
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.57
RSI (14, hourly)56.0
Realized vol 7d1.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 1h.
Time to resolve3d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%