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← Explore · Market 2812312

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?

3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 36.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (22.9%)
Change 24h-36.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$34,001
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$178 / $480
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score46.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.52
RSI (14, hourly)20.8
Realized vol 7d5.46pt
Change 1h-4.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 1h.

Time to resolve3d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth