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← Explore · Market 2812382

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 July 6-12?

1.3% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.6%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.3¢
Spread1.0¢ (76.9%)
Change 24h-0.80pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$740
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45 / $286
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 75 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.31
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d8.03pt
Change 1h-0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 1h.

Time to resolve3d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth