← Explore · Market 2815441

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

22.6% implied · bid 22.5¢ · ask 22.8¢

The market prices this at 22.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability22.8%

Bid / ask / mid22.5¢ / 22.8¢ / 22.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+0.13pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$373,902

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$167,032 / $338,934

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)4

Liquidity score98.8 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.03

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.22pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 19h.

Time to resolve1d 19h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%