← Explore · Market 2815444

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

52.1% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 52.3¢

The market prices this at 52.3%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability52.3%

Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 52.3¢ / 52.1¢

Spread0.2¢ (0.5%)

Change 24h-0.38pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$75,582

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$857,590 / $513,918

Imbalance23% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score98.8 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.40

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 19h.

Time to resolve1d 19h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%