← Explore · Market 2817849
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
37.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.5%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 69.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.5%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread69.0¢ (184.0%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)45.5
Realized vol 7d0.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%