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← Explore · Market 2817896

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

55.5% implied · bid 55.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 55.0%, down 16.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%
Bid / ask / mid55.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h-16.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28,839
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,068 / $13,701
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score56.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.63
RSI (14, hourly)36.0
Realized vol 7d2.85pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 22d 2h.

Time to resolve22d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth