← Explore · Market 2818002

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢

The market prices this at 45.0%, up 29.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%

Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)

Change 24h+29.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,170

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$450 / $919

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.7 / 100

RSI 70 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.22

RSI (14, hourly)69.8

Realized vol 7d2.39pt

Change 1h+5.00pt

Resolves in 1d 13h.

Time to resolve1d 13h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%