← Explore · Market 2821984
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
50.0% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, up 6.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.0%)
Change 24h+6.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$24,108
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,883 / $11,853
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.39
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d6.45pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 21h.
Time to resolve17d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%