← Explore · Market 2822005

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

1.8% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 1.8¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (5.7%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,813

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$791 / $1,564

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.7 / 100

RSI 80 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.11

RSI (14, hourly)80.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%