← Explore · Market 2822005

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

3.8% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 3.9¢

The market prices this at 4.0%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.0%

Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.8¢

Spread0.2¢ (5.3%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$19,159

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,218 / $4,566

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.33pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 82d 16h.

Time to resolve82d 16h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%