← Explore · Market 2822017
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
19.0% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 20.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 20.0¢ / 19.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,952
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,695 / $3,515
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.55
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d1.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 16h.
Time to resolve174d 16h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%