← Explore · Market 2822017
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$120
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,800 / $6,164
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 310d 2h.
Time to resolve310d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%