← Explore · Market 2824614
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
69.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 74.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 69.5%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability69.5%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 69.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (12.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 82% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$88 / $19
Imbalance82% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%