← Explore · Market 2824614
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 45.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$965
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,762 / $966
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.98pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%