← Explore · Market 2825518

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

15.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%

Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (6.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,139

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$784 / $902

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.8 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 13h.

Time to resolve7d 13h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%