← Explore · Market 2825520
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$955
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$948 / $617
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.83
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 13h.
Time to resolve7d 13h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%