← Explore · Market 2829164

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

59.6% implied · bid 59.5¢ · ask 59.8¢

The market prices this at 59.8%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability59.8%

Bid / ask / mid59.5¢ / 59.8¢ / 59.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h-0.88pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,500,479

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,457,196 / $2,041,116

Imbalance25% bid

Large trades (>$1k)6

Liquidity score98.7 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 17h.

Time to resolve0d 17h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%