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← Explore · Market 2829166

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

24.4% implied · bid 24.3¢ · ask 24.5¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability24.5%
Bid / ask / mid24.3¢ / 24.5¢ / 24.4¢
Spread0.3¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h-0.13pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$163,197
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,078,116 / $616,774
Imbalance62% bid
Large trades (>$1k)14
Liquidity score98.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.36
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 17h.

Time to resolve0d 17h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth