a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2829176

Spain leading at halftime?

44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 45.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$70,343
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$61,483 / $78,211
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.12
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 16h.

Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth