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← Explore · Market 2829177

Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?

41.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 42.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 42.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$18,624
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56,446 / $153,458
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.59
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 16h.

Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth