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← Explore · Market 2829196

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$125,461
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33,204 / $272,890
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)18
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.58
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 17h.

Time to resolve0d 17h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth