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← Explore · Market 2829371

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

33.6% implied · bid 33.5¢ · ask 33.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability33.8%
Bid / ask / mid33.5¢ / 33.8¢ / 33.6¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.7%)
Change 24h+0.12pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$340,810
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$189,321 / $341,991
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)34
Liquidity score98.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.29
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 16h.

Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth