← Explore · Market 2831020

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

85.0% implied · bid 84.1¢ · ask 85.8¢

The market prices this at 84.4%, up 5.7pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.

Implied probability84.4%

Bid / ask / mid84.1¢ / 85.8¢ / 85.0¢

Spread1.7¢ (2.0%)

Change 24h+5.70pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,431

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,440 / $375

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score42.4 / 100

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.63

RSI (14, hourly)38.9

Realized vol 7d3.32pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 174d 21h.

Time to resolve174d 21h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%