← Explore · Market 2832140

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

90.0% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 90.1¢

The market prices this at 90.0%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability90.0%

Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 90.1¢ / 90.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h-0.35pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$57,955

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$102,983 / $213,916

Imbalance34% bid

Large trades (>$1k)6

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.70

RSI (14, hourly)21.4

Realized vol 7d1.06pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 355d 22h.

Time to resolve355d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%