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Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

7.8% implied · bid 7.8¢ · ask 7.9¢

The market prices this at 7.9%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability7.9%

Bid / ask / mid7.8¢ / 7.9¢ / 7.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$225,000

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,193 / $23,050

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)14

Liquidity score67.6 / 100

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.66

RSI (14, hourly)51.7

Realized vol 7d0.64pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 355d 20h.

Time to resolve355d 20h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%