← Explore · Market 2833079
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?
14.0% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 11.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (14.3%)
Change 24h-11.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$697
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$644 / $893
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.04
RSI (14, hourly)27.5
Realized vol 7d1.99pt
Change 1h-9.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 13h.
Time to resolve4d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%