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← Explore · Market 2833084

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?

30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 30.0%, up 13.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h+13.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,092
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,435 / $1,635
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 76 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.48
RSI (14, hourly)76.2
Realized vol 7d1.88pt
Change 1h+7.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 13h.

Time to resolve4d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth