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← Explore · Market 2833117

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 14?

99.7% implied · bid 99.4¢ · ask 99.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.6%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.7¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$274
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,279 / $112
Imbalance99% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.21
RSI (14, hourly)51.5
Realized vol 7d6.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 13h.

Time to resolve4d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth