a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2833119

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 14?

98.7% implied · bid 98.5¢ · ask 98.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 1.9pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 98.8¢ / 98.7¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+1.85pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 71/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$329
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,319 / $39,103
Imbalance30% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score70.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)60.8
Realized vol 7d6.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 13h.

Time to resolve4d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth