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← Explore · Market 2833125

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

94.0% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 95.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 92.0%, up 18.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+18.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 68% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$10,339
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,582 / $9,866
Imbalance68% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 76 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.32
RSI (14, hourly)75.7
Realized vol 7d2.19pt
Change 1h+3.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 13h.

Time to resolve4d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth