← Explore · Market 2835627
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$588
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $32
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 21h.
Time to resolve1d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%