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Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?

9.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

The market prices this at 8.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 9.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (44.4%)

Change 24h-4.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,077

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44 / $171

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.1 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.68

RSI (14, hourly)35.7

Realized vol 7d2.43pt

Change 1h-3.00pt

Resolves in 3d 21h.

Time to resolve3d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%