← Explore · Market 2835762
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$73
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$146 / $321
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.02
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 21h.
Time to resolve6d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%