← Explore · Market 2839715

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

40.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 42.0¢

The market prices this at 44.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability44.0%

Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (7.4%)

Change 24h+3.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,805

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $57

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.0 / 100

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.01

RSI (14, hourly)48.5

Realized vol 7d4.71pt

Change 1h-3.00pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%