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← Explore · Market 2839850

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9PM ET

99.9% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 49.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+49.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$34,180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 95 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean6.83
RSI (14, hourly)95.5
Realized vol 7d7.59pt
Change 1h+52.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.