← Explore · Market 2839850
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9PM ET
99.9% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.9%, up 49.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+49.45pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$34,180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 95 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean6.83
RSI (14, hourly)95.5
Realized vol 7d7.59pt
Change 1h+52.45pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Order book unavailable.