← Explore · Market 2840115
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
65.0% implied · bid 61.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 60.0%, down 25.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability60.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 65.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (12.3%)
Change 24h-25.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$19,275
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$115 / $66
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score10.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93
RSI (14, hourly)35.8
Realized vol 7d5.95pt
Change 1h-8.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 355d 21h.
Time to resolve355d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%