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Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

56.6% implied · bid 56.5¢ · ask 56.8¢

The market prices this at 56.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability56.8%

Bid / ask / mid56.5¢ / 56.8¢ / 56.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+0.13pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$303,205

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$396,939 / $1,081,774

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)7

Liquidity score98.7 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.02

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%