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← Explore · Market 2844059

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

26.9% implied · bid 26.8¢ · ask 27.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 27.0%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.8¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.9¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h-0.63pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 70% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$23,772
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$343,711 / $96,978
Imbalance70% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score98.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.06
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth