← Explore · Market 2844060

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

16.4% implied · bid 16.3¢ · ask 16.5¢

The market prices this at 16.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability16.5%

Bid / ask / mid16.3¢ / 16.5¢ / 16.4¢

Spread0.3¢ (1.5%)

Change 24h-0.13pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$48,219

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$184,105 / $143,544

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score98.8 / 100

RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.56

RSI (14, hourly)44.4

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%