← Explore · Market 2846073

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

24.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

The market prices this at 26.0%, down 16.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability26.0%

Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 24.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (20.4%)

Change 24h-16.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,717

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $36

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.18

RSI (14, hourly)28.9

Realized vol 7d6.01pt

Change 1h+4.50pt

Resolves in 355d 21h.

Time to resolve355d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%