← Explore · Market 2846074
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
17.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (17.1%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$94
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$232 / $1
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.01
RSI (14, hourly)61.5
Realized vol 7d4.93pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 355d 21h.
Time to resolve355d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%