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← Explore · Market 2846075

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

17.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 19.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 18.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (17.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$583
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $530
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.64
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d4.28pt
Change 1h-4.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 355d 21h.

Time to resolve355d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth