← Explore · Market 2846076

Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

The market prices this at 16.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%

Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)

Change 24h-5.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$791

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $181

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.1 / 100

RSI 8 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.54

RSI (14, hourly)8.3

Realized vol 7d4.72pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 355d 21h.

Time to resolve355d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%