← Explore · Market 2846103

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

The market prices this at 22.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%

Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h-2.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$140

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$46 / $571

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d4.79pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 355d 21h.

Time to resolve355d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%