← Explore · Market 2846251

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?

86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

The market prices this at 87.0%, up 36.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability87.0%

Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+36.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$65,669

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,880 / $16,504

Imbalance42% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score60.7 / 100

RSI 72 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.18

RSI (14, hourly)72.2

Realized vol 7d5.56pt

Change 1h+25.00pt

Resolves in 0d 13h.

Time to resolve0d 13h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%