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Ethereum Up or Down on July 10?

81.5% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 82.0¢

The market prices this at 83.0%, up 30.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 81.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+30.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$19,873

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,975 / $9,512

Imbalance43% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score54.2 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.56

RSI (14, hourly)75.2

Realized vol 7d5.22pt

Change 1h+26.00pt

Resolves in 0d 13h.

Time to resolve0d 13h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%