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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 15?

99.7% implied · bid 99.5¢ · ask 99.9¢

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 1.2pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%

Bid / ask / mid99.5¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.7¢

Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+1.25pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,245

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,705 / $184

Imbalance99% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score52.9 / 100

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.43

RSI (14, hourly)77.8

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h-0.15pt

Resolves in 5d 13h.

Time to resolve5d 13h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%