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← Explore · Market 2846313

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 15?

99.3% implied · bid 99.0¢ · ask 99.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.0¢ / 99.6¢ / 99.3¢
Spread0.6¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+0.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 89% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,576
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,928 / $1,611
Imbalance89% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.59
RSI (14, hourly)61.0
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 13h.

Time to resolve5d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth