← Explore · Market 2846316
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 15?
98.5% implied · bid 98.0¢ · ask 98.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.9%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability98.9%
Bid / ask / mid98.0¢ / 98.9¢ / 98.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,855 / $46,886
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)65.3
Realized vol 7d11.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 13h.
Time to resolve5d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%