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← Explore · Market 2846316

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 15?

98.5% implied · bid 98.0¢ · ask 98.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.9%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability98.9%
Bid / ask / mid98.0¢ / 98.9¢ / 98.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,855 / $46,886
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)65.3
Realized vol 7d11.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 13h.

Time to resolve5d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth