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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 15?

96.9% implied · bid 95.3¢ · ask 98.5¢

The market prices this at 97.0%, up 7.9pt over 24h, on a 3.2¢ spread.

Implied probability97.0%

Bid / ask / mid95.3¢ / 98.5¢ / 96.9¢

Spread3.2¢ (3.3%)

Change 24h+7.90pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 84/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,068

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,567 / $105,388

Imbalance15% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score84.0 / 100

RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.57

RSI (14, hourly)70.3

Realized vol 7d10.19pt

Change 1h+0.60pt

Resolves in 5d 13h.

Time to resolve5d 13h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%